7 Jul · 19:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1436
FormWLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Kaczynski
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Kaczynski
ELO 1570
FormWWWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Kaczynski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)