7 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1534
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.