7 Jul · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1390
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Suchecki
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1317
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)