7 Jul · 20:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1582
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Koczyba
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1472
FormLWLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)