7 Jul · 23:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1382
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mrugala
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1382
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.