7 Jul · 23:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1540
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skorupa
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1523
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.