7 Jul · 23:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1382
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Suchecki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1369
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.