7 Jul · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1574
FormWWWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1791
FormWLWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)