8 Jul · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1428
FormLLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1634
FormWWWWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+206
H2H27-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-4)