8 Jul · 02:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1512
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Brunner
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1563
FormLLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Brunner
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H7-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)