8 Jul · 02:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1379
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Suchecki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1374
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 40% · 2.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H7-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.