8 Jul · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1632
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tkocz
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1547
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H37-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)