8 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1602
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pruszkowski
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1569
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.