8 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1401
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rudomina
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1340
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H40-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-35)