8 Jul · 07:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1626
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tkocz
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1563
FormWWWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H37-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)