8 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1333
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1380
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H15-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)