8 Jul · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1431
FormLLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H21-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-12)