8 Jul · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1636
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hetnar
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1590
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H38-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-15)