8 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1384
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jurowicz
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1436
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Jurowicz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)