8 Jul · 09:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1415
FormLLLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Chmielowski
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1655
FormLWWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Chmielowski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+240
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+240)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)