8 Jul · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1354
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1440
FormWLLWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)