8 Jul · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1508
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1590
FormLWLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H16-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)