8 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1638
FormWWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Tkocz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1489
FormWWWWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H20-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-3)