8 Jul · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1643
FormWWLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Hetnar
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1389
FormWLWLW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+254
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+254)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)