8 Jul · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1435
FormLWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1586
FormLWLWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H34-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-18)