8 Jul · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1319
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1495
FormLWLLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H24-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-19)