8 Jul · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1646
FormWWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Hetnar
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1511
FormWLLWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)