8 Jul · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1535
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Gajda
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1430
FormLLWWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)