8 Jul · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1386
FormLWLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1591
FormWLWLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+205
H2H34-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-31)