8 Jul · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1434
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1480
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)