8 Jul · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1314
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Misiak
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1389
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Misiak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H65-98
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)