8 Jul · 15:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1527
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1574
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H44-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)