8 Jul · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1436
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solilo
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1405
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.