8 Jul · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1325
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kwodawski
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1405
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kwodawski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H6-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)