8 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1403
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jurowicz
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1439
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Jurowicz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H17-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.