8 Jul · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1482
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Minda
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1369
FormLLLWW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H17-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-10)