8 Jul · 15:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1648
FormLLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Chmielowski
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1518
FormLWLWW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Chmielowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)