8 Jul · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1444
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1488
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)