8 Jul · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1447
FormWLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1583
FormWWLLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H35-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-18)