8 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1491
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Juszczyk
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1433
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)