8 Jul · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1400
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skorski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1348
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H47-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)