8 Jul · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1522
FormWLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1658
FormLLWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)