8 Jul · 21:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1347
FormLLWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1507
FormWWLWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)