8 Jul · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1604
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Warzecha
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1522
FormWLWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H21-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-9)