8 Jul · 22:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1323
FormLLWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1507
FormWWLWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)