8 Jul · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1547
FormLWWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Janus
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1285
FormLLWWL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Janus
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~70 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+262
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+262)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)