9 Jul · 00:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Janus
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1496
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Janus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)