8 Jul · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1653
FormWLLLW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Tkaczyk
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1282
FormLLLWW
84%
16%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~69 pts
3-0
42%
3-1
29%
3-2
13%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+371
H2H24-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+371)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-7)