9 Jul · 01:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1496
FormLLWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Pyrek
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1281
FormLLLLW
72%
28%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+215
H2H20-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-1)