9 Jul · 01:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1452
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vincenec
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1393
FormWLLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)